The status of achieving MDG Goal 4 in case of India

 Definition:

Under-five mortality rate is the probability per 1,000 that a newborn baby will die before reaching age five, if subject to age-specific mortality rates of the specified year.

MDG Goal in this respect is

Reduce by two thirds, between 1990 and 2015, the under-five mortality rate

In India, we are having the following information as per World Bank.

Year	Mortality Rates, Under - 5
1990	126
1991	122
1992	119
1993	116
1994	112
1995	109
1996	106
1997	102
1998	99
1999	95
2000	91
2001	88
2002	85
2003	81
2004	78
2005	75
2006	72
2007	69
2008	66
2009	63
2010	60
2011	58
2012	55
2013	53

If we fit a linear trend, we estimate the same for 2015 as 44.  But as per the target fixed under the MDG Goal, we should have achieved 42.  Thus, we may miss the Goal marginally by 2 deaths.  It is well attempted by India.