Saturday, December 7, 2013

India’s Urbanization Trends


Urbanization in India has moved from 11% in 1901 to over 31% in 2011. Urbanization in India was mainly had impetus after independence.  Economic opportunities are just one reason people move into cities besides more infrastructure facilities in the urban areas. 
In every census in India, the same definition/ criteria has been used in order to classify an area as urban and the rest is rural.  The areas having municipal corporation(s), nagar parishad(s), nagar panchayat(s), cantonment board(s) are by default taken ar urban.  Other some areas classified by none of the above categories are taken as census towns if the area satisfies all the following criteria:
1.    It has at least one (single) village of more than 5000 population and the density of the area is at least 400 persons per sq. km.
2.    A minimum of 75% of male working population is in the non-agriculture sector.
In 2001, there were 3799 statutory towns and 1362 were census towns.  Latter the status of a few was changed either by de-notification or a few were merged into one or other of the existing statutory towns by the State government (s).  Also a few of the census towns were merged in one or more of the statutory town and some census towns were retained for the conduct of 2011 census.  Now after 2011 census, we have 4041 statutory towns and 3894 are census towns.  We have 497 class-I towns i.e. the towns with one hundred thousand population or more.  On this basis, the population of various districts is being classified as urban or rural. 
It is being believed that urbanization in India is taking place at a faster rate.  As per report of the technical group on population projections constituted by the National Commission on Population (May 2006), the urbanization in India would be 38.8% by the year 2026.  According to a survey by UN State of the World Population report in 2007, by 2030, 40.76% of country's population is expected to reside in urban areas.  India will lead the world's urban population surge by 2050 as per World Bank.  If one fits the trend line to the data for the years 1951 to 2011 (given below), one gets that India may achieve the urbanization of 39.72% by the year 2050 only, if the present trend continues.  Time will tell which one of these projections would be true.
Census Year
1951
1961
1971
1981
1991
2001
2011
All-India
17.29
17.97
19.91
23.08
25.49
27.81
31.16

The fastest rate of urbanization in India has been observed for the urban agglomerations of Mumbai in Maharashtra, Delhi and Kolkata in West Bengal.  Mumbai UA accommodates 18.4 million people, and is the largest metropolis by population in India, followed by Delhi with 16.3 million inhabitants. Kolkata has 14.1 million inhabitants and the next one is of Chennai in Tamil Nadu with 8.7 millions followed by Bangalore (8.5 millions) in Karnataka.  For the top 20 urban agglomerations in India, the population is given in the following Table.
Top 20 Urban Agglomerations/Cities in India (Census 2011)
Rank
Agglomerations
/Cities
State
Population
Rank
Agglomerations/
Cities
State
Population
1
Mumbai
Maharashtra
18,414,288
11
Kanpur
Uttar Pradesh
2,920,067
2
Delhi
Delhi
16,314,838
12
Lucknow
Uttar Pradesh
2,901,474
3
Kolkata
West Bengal
14,112,536
13
Nagpur
Maharashtra
2,497,777
4
Chennai
Tamil Nadu
8,696,010
14
Ghaziabad
Uttar Pradesh
2,358,525
5
Bangalore
Karnataka
8,499,399
15
Indore
Madhya Pradesh
2,167,447
6
Hyderabad
Andhra Pradesh
7,749,334
16
Coimbatore
Tamil Nadu
2,151,466
7
Ahmedabad
Gujarat
6,240,201
17
Kochi
Kerala
2,117,990
8
Pune
Maharashtra
5,049,968
18
Patna
Bihar
2,046,652
9
Surat
Gujarat
4,585,367
19
Kozhikode
Kerala
2,030,519
10
Jaipur
Rajasthan
3,073,350
20
Bhopal
Madhya Pradesh
1,883,381
Maharashtra was the most urbanized state in India till 1991, but stood behind Tamil Nadu in 2001, with the urban-total state population ratio. However, Maharashtra's urban population of 41 million, far exceeds that of Tamil Nadu which is at 27 million, as per the 2001 census. At present Delhi has the highest level of urbanization with 97.5% of its population live in urban areas.  Chandigarh is not far behind as its 97.25% reside in urban part of this Union Territory of North India. 
Again in North India, Himachal Pradesh, hill state, has the least urbanization with about 10% of its people live in urban towns/cities.  Urbanization during the last decade was more in Southern India as all its major states had quantum jump in share of urban population, namely Kerala (22%), Andhra Pradesh (6%), Karnataka (5%) and Tamil Nadu (4%).
The following table gives the ranking of the various states/Union Territories of India as per the urbanization in the last two census:

State / UT
Urbanization in 2001
Rank
Urbanization in 2011
Rank
Annual Growth in Urbanization
NCT of Delhi
93.18
01
97.50
01
0.4542
Chandigarh
89.77
02
97.25
02
0.8036
Puducherry
66.57
03
68.31
05
0.2584
Goa
49.76
04
62.17
06
2.2516
Mizoram
49.63
05
51.51
07
0.3725
Lakshadweep
44.46
06
78.08
03
5.7930
Tamil Nadu
44.04
07
48.45
08
0.9589
Maharashtra
42.43
08
45.03
11
0.5965
Gujarat
37.36
09
42.58
12
1.3164
Daman & Diu
36.25
10
75.16
04
7.5642
Karnataka
33.99
11
38.57
13
1.2721
Punjab
33.92
12
37.49
14
1.0057
Andaman & Nicobar Islands
32.63
13
35.67
15
0.8948
Haryana
28.92
14
34.79
16
1.8651
West Bengal
27.97
15
31.89
18
1.3202
Andhra Pradesh
27.30
16
33.49
17
2.0646
Manipur
26.58
17
30.21
20
1.2884
Madhya Pradesh
26.46
18
27.63
22
0.4336
Kerala
25.96
19
47.72
09
6.2771
Uttarakhand
25.67
20
30.55
19
1.7557
Jammu & Kashmir
24.81
21
27.21
23
0.9277
Rajasthan
23.39
22
24.89
26
0.6235
Dadra & Nagar Haveli
22.89
23
46.62
10
7.3724
Jharkhand
22.24
24
24.05
27
0.7855
Uttar Pradesh
20.78
25
22.28
30
0.6994
Arunachal Pradesh
20.75
26
22.67
29
0.8889
Chhattisgarh
20.09
27
23.24
28
1.4672
Meghalaya
19.58
28
20.08
31
0.2525
Nagaland
17.23
29
28.97
21
5.3335
Tripura
17.06
30
26.18
24
4.3756
Odisha
14.99
31
16.68
32
1.0740
Assam
12.90
32
14.08
33
0.8791
Sikkim
11.07
33
24.97
25
8.4744
Bihar
10.46
34
11.30
34
0.7754
Himachal Pradesh
9.80
35
10.04
35
0.2422

It may be observed that, barring UTs and North-Eastern small states, urbanization growth had been phenomenal in case of Kerala and Goa States of India and had been least in case of Himachal Pradesh (Hill State) and Madhya Pradesh. 

The rank correlation between the ranks given above is over 0.91 i.e. the ranking had been quite similar.  The correlation between the urban population ratios for the two census series is also over 0.91.  It clearly depicts that the positive growth in urbanization in all the states has been more or so of the same order for all the states/UTs of India.  Thus urbanization had been almost stable over the entire area in India over the last one decade.

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